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Table 4 Occupied and modelled range sizes and extinction risk estimates for Cyclamen. Range sizes based on Grey-Wilson's maps [26].

From: A phyloclimatic study of Cyclamen

  Present range Bioclim 2050 Maxent 2050
Species (km2) (km2) loss % kappa (km2) loss % kappa
C. africanum 53,365 622 99% 0.385 18,577 65% 0.493
C. balearicum 35,690 1,128 97% 0.227 10,503 71% 0.508
C. cilicium 59,724 1,873 97% 0.141 14,282 76% 0.545
C. colchicum 7,451 0 100% 0.897 1,731 77% 0.326
C. coum 453,333 291,502 36% 0.052 77,132 83% 0.352
C. creticum 18,936 0 100% 0.816 9,497 50% 0.566
C. cyprium 15,796 0 100% 0.518 8,233 48% 0.433
C. elegans 28,917 0 100% 0.211 3,692 87% 0.337
C. graecum 168,892 71,513 58% 0.222 85,270 50% 0.444
C. hederifolium 967,928 473,241 51% 0.321 183,213 81% 0.624
C. intaminatum 14,273 0 100% 0.875 2,379 83% 0.528
C. libanoticum 2,562 0 100% 0.667 0 100% 0.067
C. mirabile 15,321 0 100% 0.254 12,286 20% 0.585
C. parviflorum 11,742 0 100% 0.769 2,362 80% 0.437
C. persicum 157,919 71,234 55% 0.290 71,535 55% 0.526
C. pseudibericum 14,767 1,249 92% 0.226 12,336 16% 0.605
C. purpurascens 440,025 232,490 47% 0.255 150,037 66% 0.601
C. repandum 513,568 285,493 44% 0.255 67,739 87% 0.625
C. rohlfsianum 34,573 0 100% 0.717 22,218 36% 0.800
C. somalense 6,797 0 100% 0.720 5,292 22% 0.480
C. trochopteranthum 27,769 0 100% 0.204 22,836 18% 0.285
Total 3,049,350 1,430,346 53% 0.430 781,149 74% 0.484
  1. Present day models for BIOCLIM and Maxent algorithms examined within 2050s climate scenarios with restrictions of limited dispersal. Kappa statistic for present day models compared with Grey-Wilson maps.