Scenario | Posterior probability | 95% CI | Type I error | Type II error |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. Simultaneous split from an ancestral population. | 0.8400 | 0.7906–0.8895 | 0.0260 | 0.2565 |
2. Eastern population diverged from western population. | 0.0011 | 0.0000–0.2607 | ||
3. Western population diverged from eastern population. | 0.0039 | 0.0000–0.2632 | ||
4. Eastern population derived from few western immigrants. | 0.0035 | 0.0000–0.2629 | ||
5. Western population derived from few eastern immigrants. | 0.1515 | 0.1046–0.1984 |