Rank | Model | log marginal likelihood | LBF | probability |
---|---|---|---|---|
mtDNA dataset A (hyperdiverse) | ||||
 1 | M5 Panmixia | −20,624.08498 | 0.0 | 0.755 |
 2 | M6 Source-Sink eastward | −20,625.20809 | −1.1 | 0.245 |
 3 | M3 Source-Sink eastward | −20,649.53419 | −25.5 | 6.69 × 10−12 |
 4 | M1 Full migration model | −21,035.49377 | −411.0 | 1.60 × 10−179 |
 5 | M4 Source-Sink westward | −21,051.61336 | − 427.5 | 1.60 × 10− 186 |
 6 | M2 Island model | −21,655.46617 | − 1031.4 | 0.000 |
mtDNA dataset B (low polymorphism) | ||||
 1 | M5 Panmixia | − 2692.03118 | 0.0 | 1.000 |
 2 | M6 Source-Sink eastward | − 2799.74770 | − 107.7 | 1.66 × 10−47 |
 3 | M3 Source-Sink eastward | − 2802.66687 | −110.6 | 8.94 × 10−49 |
 4 | M1 Full migration model | − 2812.21261 | − 120.2 | 6.40 × 10−53 |
 5 | M4 Source-Sink westward | − 2815.14498 | − 123.1 | 3.41 × 10−54 |
 6 | M2 Island model | − 2887.11249 | −195.1 | 1.89 × 10−85 |