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Table 1 Effects of invader’s and community’s evolutionary background (fluctuating or constant thermal environment), and environment (fluctuating or constant) during invasion and their interactions on invasion success of Serratia marcescens, at third, sixth, ninth, and twelfth day of invasion

From: Invasion triple trouble: environmental fluctuations, fluctuation-adapted invaders and fluctuation-mal-adapted communities all govern invasion success

 

Day 3

Day 6

  

95% CI

  

95% CI

 

Effect

Estimate

lower

upper

p

Estimate

lower

upper

p

Intercept

32.904

26.295

40.806

<0.001

25.716

18.132

35.503

<0.001

Invader

2.172

-5.361

9.676

0.57

6.587

-0.914

15.385

0.086

Community

13.665

10.924

16.648

<0.001

8.705

6.315

11.511

<0.001

Environment

18.581

14.984

22.401

<0.001

12.396

8.979

16.215

<0.001

Invader by Community

0.213

-2.831

3.099

0.87

0.802

-1.846

3.193

0.544

Invader by Environment

2.149

-1.6464

5.999

0.278

1.221

-2.347

4.531

0.461

Community by Environment

13.717

10.985

16.724

<0.001

7.061

5.013

9.375

<0.001

3-way

0.251

-2.555

3.243

0.867

1.266

-0.882

3.426

0.243

 

Day 9

Day 12

  

95% CI

  

95% CI

 

Effect

Estimate

lower

upper

p

Estimate

lower

upper

p

Intercept

24.503

17.215

33.723

<0.001

31.72

20.908

46.328

<0.001

Invader

8.064

0.659

16.468

0.032

7.088

-5.822

20.381

0.234

Community

6.563

4.482

9.106

<0.001

4.409

2.53

6.586

<0.001

Environment

6.268

4.352

8.625

<0.001

12.201

8.326

16.64

<0.001

Invader by Community

4.192

2.091

6.584

<0.001

0.203

-1.853

2.245

0.846

Invader by Environment

0.938

-1.162

3.007

0.368

0.273

-4.27

4.23

0.888

Community by Environment

1.126

-0.217

2.509

0.094

3.213

1.14

5.582

0.003

3-way

0.805

-0.42

2.277

0.206

3.4

1.444

5.809

<0.001

  1. Estimate indicates median of posteriori distribution of the estimate b. b=X-1y, where X is design matrix and y is posterior estimate at each level of treatment combinations. 95% credible intervals indicate variation around the estimate. p = propability of overlap with zero