Demographical history and palaeodistribution modelling show range shift towards Amazon Basin for a Neotropical tree species in the LGM

Table 2 Comparison of the demographical hypotheses in retrieve the haplotype (h) and nucleotide (π) diversities observed

	Hypothesis	P	Δ AIC	AICw	P	Δ AIC	AICw
	Hypothesis	P	h	AICw	P	π	AICw
cpDNA	PLAH	0.040	6.680	0.024	0.020	2.681	0.164
	PPPH	0.360	0.000	0.680	0.100	0.000	0.629
	Both	0.080	2.000	0.277	0.020	2.756	0.158
	Retraction	0.200	7.187	0.019	0.002	5.095	0.049
ITS	PLAH	0.194	2.852	0.111	0.040	2.000	0.241
	PPPH	0.498	0.000	0.465	0.140	0.000	0.587
	Both	0.194	1.287	0.243	0.020	3.428	0.106
	Retraction	0.378	1.876	0.181	0.040	4.382	0.066

Data obtained from 2,000 simulations using the software BayeSSC. (P) two-tailed probability. ∆ AIC and AICw Akaike Information Criterion delta and weights. PLAH, Pleistocene Arc Hypothesis, PPPH, Amazon SDF Hypothesis; Both, pattern matching both hypotheses PLAH + PPPH; Retraction, pattern matching a strong range retraction. See Fig. 5 for details about the demographical scenarios. h haplotype diversity, π nucleotide diversity

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