Patterns of gene flow and selection across multiple species of Acrocephalus warblers: footprints of parallel selection on the Z chromosome

Table 3 Maximum-likelihood estimates (MLE) and 95 % highest posterior density (HPD) intervals of demographic parameters of isolation with migration model

Parameter	MLE	HPD95Lo^a	HPD95Hi^b
N_s ^c	429802	258540	663640
N_p ^c	541781	344171	825022
N_d ^c	535194	360638	772326
N_sp ^c	80691	0	627412
m_s>p ^d	1.14E-09	0	5.09E-07
m_p>s ^d	1.92E-07	7.97E-09	5.43E-07
m_s>d ^d	1.14E-09	0	1.22E-07
m_d>s ^d	1.14E-09	0	1.17E-07
m_p>d ^d	1.14E-09	0	1.24E-07
m_d>p ^d	5.35E-08	0	2.17E-07
m_d>sp ^d	8.84E-07	1.81E-07	2.28E-06
m_sp>d ^d	1.14E-09	0	2.10E-06
2N_sm_s>p ^e	0.00081	-	-
2N_sm_s>d ^e	0.00039	-	-
2N_pm_p>s ^e	0.23800	-	-
2N_pm_p>d ^e	0.00054	-	-
2N_dm_d>s ^e	0.00044	-	-
2N_dm_d>p ^e	0.06182	-	-
2N_dm_d>sp ^e	0.94860	-	-
2N_spm_sp>d ^e	0.00750	-	-
t₀ ^f	1116496	668580	2217184
t₁ ^f	2546534	1657289	6583046

^aLower 95 % HPD
^bHigher 95 % HPD
^cEffective population sizes of A. scirpaceus (N_s), A. palustris (N_p), A. dumetorum (N_d), and the common ancestor of A. scirpaceus and A. palustris (N_sp) in numbers of individuals
^dMigration rates per year (species are marked in the same way as above, e.g., m_s>p indicates migration from A. palustris into A. scirpaceus)
^eThe population migration rate (species are marked in the same way as above, e.g., 2N_sm_s>p indicates population migration rate from A. palustris to A. scirpaceus)
^fDivergence time between A. scirpaceus and A. palustris (t₀) and between A. dumetorum and the common ancestor of A. scirpaceus and A. palustris (t₁) in numbers of years

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