Skip to main content

Table 5 Posterior probabilities for the hypothesized eastern white pine evolutionary scenarios from the ABC analysis

From: Post-glacial phylogeography and evolution of a wide-ranging highly-exploited keystone forest tree, eastern white pine (Pinus strobus) in North America: single refugium, multiple routes

Evolutionary scenario

Nuclear microsatellites

Chloroplast microsatellites

Posterior probability of scenario

Confidence interval (95 %)

Posterior probability of scenario

Confidence interval (95 %)

Population divergence

Sc1

0.7145

[0.6226,0.8064]

0.6016

[0.5235,0.6696]

Sc2

0.1810

[0.1119,0.2502]

0.3938

[0.3257,0.4619]

Sc3

0.1045

[0.0472,0.1617]

0.0046

[0.0001,0.0484]

Population admixture

Sc4

0.6667

[0.5467,0.7867]

0.5952

[0.4923,0.6981]

Sc5

0.3333

[0.1736,0.5088]

0.4048

[0.2783,0.5289]

Best scenario

Sc1

0.5469

[0.4634,0.7145]

0.4172

[0.1818,0.3997]

Sc4

0.4531

[0.2242,0.4487]

0.5828

[0.4738,0.6840]

  1. Scenarios with the highest posterior probability for each test are represented in bold. The group information is provided in Additional file 1: Table S1 and the illustrations of the hypothesized scenarios are provided in the Additional file 2: Figure S1