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Table 2 Results of testing alternative models of niche transition in BayesTraits using logarithmic Bayes Factor (BF) comparisons

From: Frequent but asymmetric niche shifts in Bulbophyllum orchids support environmental and climatic instability in Madagascar over Quaternary time scales

Model Marginal likelihood Standard error 2(log BF) q AB q AC q BA q BC q CA q CB
No constraint −34.74 +/− 0.017 - 77.03 68.17 68.99 71.50 41.74 53.28
q AB = 0 −37.73 +/− 0.020 5.93 0 57.61 64.94 79.81 38.02 63.57
q AC = 0 −36.64 +/− 0.019 3.53 74.17 0 67.35 81.99 31.09 53.85
q BA = 0 −37.37 +/− 0.020 5.12 75.50 76.98 0 70.84 63.44 59.58
q BC = 0 −38.20 +/− 0.023 5.85 78.44 83.30 74.54 0 42.40 42.62
q CA = 0 −34.38 +/− 0.017 −0.75 75.47 62.09 72.48 71.12 0 51.80
q CB = 0 −35.21 +/− 0.017 0.80 80.33 65.13 69.27 66.25 40.37 0
q CB = 0, qCA = 0 −35.00 +/− 0.017 0.46 77.64 59.20 70.45 63.67 0 0