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Table 4 MIGRATE-N [23] runs showing the log-probability of the data given the model (marginal likelihood) for the following migration models: I) full migration between the four localities; II) migration from West to East; III) migration from East to West; IV) migration from North to South; V) migration from South to North; VI) a stepping-stone model; VII) ACC as a permanent barrier between north and south populations, with full migration between northern populations; VIII) ACC as a permanent barrier and stepping-stone between northern populations

From: The Antarctic Circumpolar Current as a diversification trigger for deep-sea octocorals

  Model I Model II Model III
No. Parameters 16 10 10
Specification **************** *000**00***0**** ****0***00**000*
Bezier lmL −5236.6250 −5223.4028 −5221.5584
LBF −20.70 −7.48 −5.63
Choice 6 4 3
Posterior Prob. <0.001 <0.001 <0.01
  Model IV Model V Model VI
No. Parameters 10 10 10
Specification *0*0***000*0**** **0*0*0*****000* **00****0**00*0*
Bezier lmL −5216.5184 −5223.9708 −5215.9249
LBF −0.59 −8.05 0.00
Choice 2 5 1
Posterior Prob. 0.36 <0.001 0.64
  Model VII Model VIII  
No. Parameters 10 8  
Specification ***0***0***0000* **00***00**0000*  
Bezier lmL −5930.9088 −6300.2584  
LBF −714.98 −1084.33  
Choice 7 8  
Posterior Prob. <0.0001 <0.0001  
  1. The first row represents the number of parameters used for a particular model. The second row shows the symbol specification for the migration matrix given to MIGRATE-N, where and asterisk represents an estimated parameter and a zero a non-estimated parameter. The third row provides the log marginal likelihood for each model obtained by thermodynamic integration. The forth row reports the log Bayes Factor (LBF). The row ‘Choice’ orders the models based on the LBF, and finally, the sixth row shows the probability for each model. Populations are labelled as follows: T for Tasmania, MQ for Macquarie Ridge, NZ for New Zealand, and A for Antarctica