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Table 3 Comparison of the six biogeographical reconstruction models for three different scenarios (“S0”, “S1”, “S2”; see text for definition)

From: Being cosmopolitan: evolutionary history and phylogeography of a specialized raptor, the Osprey Pandion haliaetus

 

Scenario S0

Scenario S1

Scenario S2

Model

lnL

AIC

i

lnL

AIC

i

lnL

AIC

i

DEC

−13.984414

31.97

0.042

−13.072694

30.15

0.018

−14.54651

33.09

0.55

DEC + J

−9.861326

25.72

0.96

−8.059002

22.12

0.98

−13.75296

33.51

0.45

DIVALIKE

−11.852773

27.71

0.11

−10.371666

24.74

0.11

−13.23454

30.47

0.66

DIVALIKE + J

−8.73571

23.47

0.89

−7.315617

20.63

0.89

−12.90696

31.81

0.34

BAYAREALIKE

−17.770147

39.54

0.0047

−18.357268

40.71

0.0002

−19.58099

43.16

0.025

BAYAREALIKE + J

−11.405964

28.81

1

−8.920927

23.84

1

−14.90445

35.81

0.98

  1. For each model of each scenario are indicated the log-likelihood (lnL), the Akaike information criterion (AIC) values, and the Akaike weight ῳi (indicating the relative likelihood of the model). The model with lowest AIC value is marked in bold font and the most likely scenario is underlined. DEC = Dispersal-Extinction Cladogenesis; DIVA = Dispersal-Vicariance Analysis; BAYAREALIKE = Bayesian inference of historical biogeography for discrete areas; j = founder-event speciation parameter