Fig. 6

Species distribution models for Aneides lugubris. A species distribution model (panel c) was constructed using present climatic conditions and the locality points shown in the inset (both testing and training points shown). The distribution model was then projected to the climatic conditions of the last glacial maximum ~22,000 years ago (a) and the mid-Holocene ~6,000 years ago (b). The model was also projected to the inferred climatic conditions in the year 2070 under the Community Climate System Model 4 concentration pathway 4.5 global climate model (d). Colors to the red end of the spectrum indicate greater climatic suitability and colors to the blue end of the spectrum indicate lower climatic suitability