Skip to main content

Table 2 Marginal likelihood of alternative migration models

From: Seasonality in the migration and establishment of H3N2 Influenza lineages with epidemic growth and decline

Migration Seasonality

+dof

NA/OT

NC/SC/OT

Global

None

0

−747.7

−587.0

−2246.3

None, variable selection for the presence of any migration between two communities

  

−588.4

−2241.2

Origin based

n + 1

 

−568.6

−2193.5

Destination based

n + 1

 

−561.2

−2207.7

Origin and destination based

2n + 1

 

−561.1

−2207.6

Specific origin and destination based

n2-n + 1

 

−561.0

−2200.6

Specific origin and destination based migration seasonality, variable selection for any migration and for seasonality between each pair of communities

 

−726.6

−561.8

−2192.6

  1. dof - degrees of freedom, NA/OT – North-America and the Global Community, NC/SC/OT – North-China, South China and the Global Community Global – 7 + 1 global communities.