|
Diversification rates forCalisto
|
|---|
| |
LH
|
AIC
|
r1
|
r2
|
r3
|
a
|
X
|
k
|
t_shift1
|
t_shift2
|
ΔAIC (yule-3-rates)
|
|---|
|
pb
|
−32.301
|
66.602
|
0.07
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
13.32
|
|
bd
|
−32.301
|
68.602
|
0.07
|
-
|
-
|
0
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
15.32
|
|
ddx
|
−28.705
|
61.41
|
0.394
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.599
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
8.124
|
|
*ddl
|
−26.579
|
57.158
|
0.175
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
40.119
|
-
|
-
|
3.871
|
|
spvar
|
−28.84
|
63.681
|
0.229
|
-
|
-
|
0.004
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
10.39
|
|
exvar
|
−32.36
|
70.721
|
0.069
|
-
|
-
|
0.014
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
17.43
|
|
bothvar
|
−28.826
|
65.653
|
0.227
|
-
|
-
|
0.004
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
12.37
|
|
yule-2-rates
|
−26.056
|
58.112
|
0.094
|
0.014
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
4.079
|
-
|
4.826
|
|
*yule-3-rates
|
−21.643
|
53.286
|
0.21
|
0.083
|
0.007
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
20.903
|
4.058
|
0
|
|
Diversification rates for
Calisto
excluding Cuban clade
|
| |
LH
|
AIC
|
r
1
|
r
2
|
r
3
|
a
|
X
|
k
|
t_shift
1
|
t_shift
2
|
ΔAIC (ddl)
|
|
pb
|
−33.893
|
69.787
|
0.056
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
11.19
|
|
bd
|
−33.893
|
71.787
|
0.056
|
-
|
-
|
0
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
13.19
|
|
ddx
|
−29.428
|
62.855
|
0.55
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.889
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
4.258
|
|
*ddl
|
−27.299
|
58.597
|
0.186
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
24.646
|
-
|
-
|
0
|
|
spvar
|
−29.332
|
64.664
|
0.253
|
-
|
-
|
0.004
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
6.066
|
|
exvar
|
−33.951
|
73.902
|
0.055
|
-
|
-
|
0.018
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
15.3
|
|
bothvar
|
−29.323
|
66.646
|
0.251
|
-
|
-
|
0.004
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
8.048
|
|
*yule-2-rates
|
−28.178
|
62.355
|
0.073
|
0.016
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
5.11
|
-
|
3.758
|
|
*yule-3-rates
|
−25.313
|
60.626
|
0.21
|
0.055
|
0.008
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
20.903
|
5.079
|
2.029
|
- The best models for our data is either DDL or yule-3-rates, which are highlighted in bold text and with an asterisk (*). Both models, nonetheless, predict a decreasing in diversification rates through time. Excluding the Cuban clade resulted in DDL, yule-2 or yule-3-rates as the main processes for the diversification of Hispaniolan lineages. LH: the best recovered log-likelihood, r
i
: net diversification rate at time i (λi - μi), a: extinction fraction (λi / μi), X: parameter controlling the magnitude of rates (only in DDX), k: parameter analogous to species “carrying capacity” (only in DDL), t_shifti: diversification shift at time i. The diversification models are pure-birth (pb), birth-death (bd), density-dependent speciation rate model following exponential (ddx) or logistic variants (ddl), exponential decline of speciation with constant extinction (spvar), exponential increase of extinction with constant speciation (exvar), speciation and extinction changes through time (bothvar), and pure birth models with n shifts in speciation (yule-n-rate).
