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Table 4 Biogeographical reconstructions for the evolution of Calisto

From: Causes of endemic radiation in the Caribbean: evidence from the historical biogeography and diversification of the butterfly genus Calisto(Nymphalidae: Satyrinae: Satyrini)

  

Crown Calisto

Stem Cuban Calisto

Stem Jamaican Calisto

Stem Bahamian C. sibylla

Stem Bahamian C. apollinis

N° vicariant events

N° dispersal events

Lagrange C++

NS0

PR-sH: 0.24 (-74.94);

nH-eC: 0.44 (-74.34);

*sH-Ja: 0.61 (-74.01);

eC-Ba: 0.55 (-74.12);

*eC-wC-Ba: 0.83 (-73.71)

8

5

PR-nH-sH: 0.16 (-75.36);

nH: 0.43 (-74.36)

sH: 0.27 (-74.83)

eC: 0.42 (-74.4)

 

PR-nH: 0.11 (-75.7)

NS1

*PR-nH: 0.48 (-74.62);

nH: 0.52 (-74.55);

sH-Ja: 0.42 (-74.75);

eC-Ba: 0.5 (-74.59);

*eC-wC-Ba: 0.81 (-74.1)

7

12 (1)

PR-nH-sH: 0.16 (-75.73)

nH-eC: 0.44 (-74.71)

sH: 0.32 (-75.02)

eC: 0.48 (-74.62)

TS2

PR-sH: 0.25 (-94.52);

*nH-eC: 0.95 (-93.18)

*sH-Ja: 0.97 (93.16)

*eC-Ba: 0.96 (-92.86)

*eC-wC-Ba: 0.95 (-92.86)

11

9

PR-nH-sH-eC: 0.22 (-94.6);

PR-sH-eC: 0.22 (-94.6)

BioGeoBEARS DEC model

NS1-j

*PR-nH-sH: 0.92

*nH: 0.68;

sH: 0.49;

eC: 0.49;

Ba: 0.4;

1

7 (6)

eC: 0.29

Ja: 0.45

Ba: 0.48

eC: 0.2;

wC: 0.2

NS1

*PR-nH-sH: 0.73;

*nH-eC: 0.52;

*sH-Ja: 0.72

*eC-Ba: 0.84

*eC-wC-Ba: 0.66;

10

3

PR-sH: 0.22

eC: 0.16

  

eC-Ba: 0.16;

wC-Ba: 0.16

TS1-j

*PR-sH: 0.72;

nH: 0.57;

*sH: 0.99

*eC: 0.81;

eC: 0.38;

1

9 (6)

PR-nH-sH: 0.12

eC: 0.37

wC: 0.18

wC: 0.28;

eC-wC: 0.27

TS1

*PR-sH: 0.84

*nH-eC: 0.66;

*sH: 0.99

*eC: 0.65;

eC-wC-Ba: 0.45;

6

9 (5)

nH: 0.3

wC: 0.21

eC-Ba: 0.43

  1. We excluded from the comparison the TS1 from Lagrange because of the unrealistic scenarios that were recovered (see text). Critical nodes for testing the Caribbean paleogeographical (vicariance) model are shown with their correspondent reconstructed ancestral geographical range. Preferred node distributions are highlighted in bold text and preceded by an asterisk (*). The number of well-supported vicariance and dispersal events were only counted when the relative probability of the best inference is two times larger than the following reconstructed distribution, in both immediate ancestral and daughter nodes. Dispersal events include the number of anagenetic range-switching and cladogenetic founder-events (the latter in parenthesis).