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Table 2 Estimates of tMRCAs of the most recent nodes (main sub-clades) and 95% confidence intervals.

From: Quaternary history and contemporary patterns in a currently expanding species

Sub-clade

tMRCA (in Myrs)

95% confidence interval (in Myrs)

Tree Prior

Rest of Europe

0.090

0.028 - 0.172

Exponential*

Iberian Peninsula

0.091

0.005 - 0.201

Constant

South Algeria - South Morocco

0.130

0.011 - 0.290

Constant

North Morocco

0.532

0.194 - 0.905

Constant

Corsica

--**

Constant

North Algeria

0.171

0.026 - 0.355

Constant

Tunisia

0.326

0.092 - 0.601

Constant

Libya

--**

Constant

N & W Turkey

0.332

0.114 - 0.608

Constant

E. Turkey, Lebanon, Israel

0.417

0.148 - 0.711

Constant

Cyprus

0.151

0.021 - 0.313

Constant

Crete

0.381

0.116 - 0.688

Constant

  1. Estimates were obtained by assuming a coalescent prior of constant size or exponential growth and by including all the sequences of each given sub-clade. Names are the same as in Figure 2.
  2. * Results based on an exponential prior are reported because the rate of exponential growth (g) was significantly higher than 0 for this group.
  3. ** MCMC did not converge due to small sample size (N = 10 and 6 for Corsica and Libya, respectively)